Обратный отсчёт. Человечество на пороге исчезновения | Фёдор Лисицын

2026-10-11 · edited 2026-10-11

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Вступление: Эллиот, «Обратный отсчёт», зачем без паники
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«Повысим рождаемость любой ценой?» Почему простые рецепты не работают
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Метод Эллиота: факты vs страшилки 1960-х
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Старение и долголетие: медицина как главный драйвер
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Исторические волны падения рождаемости и роста населения
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Ниже простого воспроизводства: кто уже там
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Будущее без апокалипсиса: почему стимулы дают мало
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США и Индия: меньше рождений, дольше жизнь
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Урбанизация как ключ: семья → город → новая демография
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Замещение прироста миграцией: опыт США и не только
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Китай: от «ограничений» к поиску демографического оптимума
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Япония: закрытость, работа, шанс на мягкое восстановление
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Экономика и «жёсткие сценарии» при разборке глобализации
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Среда и здравый смысл: свет, экология, но без магии
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Мультифакторность: еда, жильё, стресс, культура, медиа
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Итог: стабилизация как реальность, перестройка как необходимость
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